21
Jul
Dale - finished your book in one weekend, and I enjoyed it very much. Any thoughts (I am sure you do!) from you and the readers on what an optimal commission structure would look like at stores with high velocity? It looks like typical % payouts would not be as effective as it really caters to dreaming about the 4k grosses - and not a grabbing what the market value brings with a quick moving inventory. Seems like volume ought to be a primary determinate of pay - with obvious spiffs for desired focus for the day/weekend, etc.
Dave
16
Jul
Ask any used car manager who’s responsible for setting up the lot- who’s job is it to be sure that the inventory is lined up straight, clean and appealing to the eye. The answer for almost every used car manager is, “me.”
Now, ask the same used car manager who’s responsible for the timeliness and quality of the used vehicle photographs and descriptions. Seldom does the used car manager raise his hand. If not you, or your used car manager, then I have to ask, “Who?” The answer is almost always somebody else, like a porter, third-party company or an internet manager. Now, I’m not saying that any of these people can’t do this job well, but what I am suggesting is that this creates a fundamental dysfunction in the dealership.
While I’m not expecting the used car manager to physically perform these tasks himself, I do believe that he needs to be the one accountable for ensuring that these tasks are getting done effectively and efficiently. Think about it- every used car manager understands the importance of getting the lot physically in shape because, traditionally, that’s what it took to bring traffic off the street. Well, in today’s environment, how your used vehicles are set up on your “virtual lot” has as much or more to do with bringing traffic in off the street than what your physical lot looks like. Nevertheless, very few used car managers take the same level of responsibility for their virtual lots as they do for their physical lots. How can this be?
I think the answer can be found by understanding the fact that most dealerships have separate internet and used car departments. And, I’m beginning to reach the conclusion that this is just plain wrong. I know for a fact that today, the used car business and the internet business is the used car business. So why do we have two separate departments? Or, if there are two different managers responsible for the most fundamental tasks of used car management, then who is the real used car manager? When it takes too long for cars to get photographed, attached to rich and compelling descriptions, and placed on all the proper internet sites, who suffers? I would argue that it is the used car manager’s department that gets penalized and, yet, the used car manager often doesn’t have responsibility or accountability for these critical tasks. This seems to be a pretty serious dysfunction.
I’ve met some used car managers that do it all, or at least take responsibility for everything that it takes, as I say, from “paint to pixels.” What I mean is that they have both the traditional used car skills, what I refer to as the “paint”, as well as the new virtual skills, what I call the “pixels.” In such cases, where a single manager is responsible for the overall operation of the used car department, the used car department really rocks. These dealerships often get their vehicles through the service department and onto the lot as well as high quality photos and descriptions onto the right internet sites within 72 hours. Too often I see both the “paint and pixels” take well over a week from the time the vehicle arrives at the dealership to the point that it is properly presented for sale on both the lot and internet. Today, with used vehicles depreciating at an unprecedented rate there is an extraordinary need for speed and efficiency, and accountability.
Any thoughts?
14
Jul
Hey! I’d like to say thank you for everyone’s help in making Velocity a best seller.
On Friday, I was notified by the publisher that it hit the top 5 spot on Amazon.com, in its category.
If you haven’t read it, I encourage you to do so and let me know what you think.
Pssst…Mom, if we sell a few more copies, you could stop ordering them
14
Jul
What do you mean this stuff’s on sale? How appropriate is it that Dale’s Pale Ale has been marked down to sell? Apparently, even the beer business understands efficient pricing. Go figure.
11
Jul
Many are predicting that in 2009 we will witness an unprecedented number of dealership closings. I don’t think that this comes as a huge surprise to anyone, but what I don’t think most people realize is that decisions that are being made right now will largely determine those who die, those who survive and those who thrive.
Think about it, we are experiencing record high fuel prices, an economy that is spiraling downward and a presidential election in November, which is typically followed by interest rate hikes. It should come as no surprise to anyone that the next year is going to be very challenging. In any challenging economic period, cash often determines who will live and who will die. What is the primary source of cash for a dealership? You’ve got it, the used car inventory.
Now ask yourself what that means for you. Specifically not if, but when your dealership needs cash in the coming year how available will it be? Will you have the ability to draw down your used vehicle inventory if necessary? Or, will your cash be locked into assets that, if liquidated, will produce large financial loss? Now is the time to ask yourself this important question, not 6 months from now.
What I’m driving at is that during the next 6 months we will probably see inventory values decline at an increasing pace. I say this for a variety of reasons. First, we’re going into the summer, fall and early winter seasons when it always happens. Second, it is likely that fuel prices will continue to rise and the economy will continue to deteriorate. Moreover, interest rates are likely to rise after the election. All of these factors combined means that the cost of not turning your inventory quickly will likely result in your working capital becoming frozen in assets which will make it very difficult to liquidate.
The only way to survive is to stay very liquid. The only way to stay liquid is to turn inventory quickly. For this reason my best advice to everyone is to immediately institute a strict policy that says that no vehicle shall exceed 45 days in stock. Yes, this even includes your acquisition and reconditioning period. Desperate times place greater burdens on all of us and one such burden is to speed up all the processes necessary to turn inventory more quickly.
Specifically, I would recommend that dealers institute a strict policy of priority for used vehicle transportation and reconditioning. It is simply not acceptable to have a vehicle investment languish in either the transportation or reconditioning phases of their inventory life. Similarly, there should be a higher sense of urgency to get quality descriptions and photos on the internet. Most importantly, there should be a hard and fast rule that allows no vehicle to exceed 45 days in inventory, even if it means taking a loss. The old 60 day rule will get you in a lot of trouble over the next 6 months. Nobody can tell me that 60 days is acceptable under the conditions that we’re experiencing where vehicles depreciate at an unprecedented pace. If you do not pay attention to the consequences of accelerated depreciation you will likely not have the ability to reach for cash when you need it the most. Simply stated, how you manage your inventory today and in the coming weeks and months, may make the difference between surviving and thriving.
3
Jul
Yesterday, I got a call from a reporter doing a story on how dealers are coping with the relatively sudden change in consumer demand for small fuel efficient vehicles. Specifically, the reporter asked me where dealers go to buy the same vehicles that everyone else is looking for.
My response was that there is no magic answer or secret stash of these vehicles to be found. Rather, the answer for dealers attempting to change the configuration of their inventory lies in their ability to identify less obvious vehicles that are in high demand in their market. Obviously everyone knows that Honda Civic’s and Toyota Corolla’s are the “hot items,” and even some more astute managers recognize the Ford Focus and Chevy Cobalt as very strong contenders. Fewer dealers, however, realize that 2007 PT Cruisers are very hot ,as are ‘07 Dodge Calibers, ’05 Saturn IONs, ’02-’04 Chevy Cavaliers and 2005 Dodge Neon’s. Specifically, take a look at the top 20 highest volume compact vehicles in Chicago as of 9:42am, July 3rd. Some of these less obvious vehicles represent the best opportunity to adjust inventories to meet consumer’s new fuel efficient preferences.
Now, I realize that some of you would just as soon suck on razor blades than stock PT Cruiser’s or other “off brands” but you really need to “get over it.” We’re operating in an environment unlike any we’ve ever seen before, and I can assure you that continuing to operate in your own zone of comfort is not a winning strategy. Take comfort in the fact that technology is available that can help you minimize the risk when you moved to vehicle types with which you’re less familiar.
For example, right now my assistant and I are looking at a screen that tells us that in the ’07 PT Cruiser category, the highest volume mover is the Touring SUV having sold 82 vehicles over the last 45 days, but the Touring Convertible has only sold 13 vehicles in that same time period, and the GT SUV and Wagons have sold none. So, with this type of knowledge, it is a relatively safe bet to experiment with some ’07 Touring SUV’s, but you’ll know to stay away from the GT SUV’s and Wagons.
Now, I’m sure that even with this information some of you are still thinking, no way am I going to go out and buy PT Cruisers and put them on my lot. Well, if you’re a high-line luxury dealer, I might agree with you because I don’t think you’d get much natural traffic for these types of vehicles. If, however, you’re most any other type of dealer and still feel this way, then I think that you need to reexamine your own preparedness to succeed in today’s business.
I know that I’ve put a relatively tough challenge to many readers, but I honestly believe we all need to re-think a lot of things and change our ways if we’re going to survive. I am very interested in hearing everyone’s thoughts on this posting. Whether you agree or disagree, let me hear from you. Also, if you want to get this top 20 list for your market, send me an email directly and I’ll get it to you right away (dpollak@vauto.com).
27
Jun
A dealer that I respect very much told me something profound. He said that he actually welcomes both wholesale and retail loss on used vehicles providing that the loss is on fresh units. He will not tolerate, however, wholesale or retail loss on aged units.
In other words, he acknowledges that you can not be in the used car business without making mistakes, but insists that those mistakes be recognized and addressed early rather than later. He has no patience for those who can not recognize or refuse to deal with their problems upfront. I think that this is really profound advice.
Remember that in the old “inefficient used car business”, time was your friend. It was usually just a matter of time before somebody could be found that would take the vehicle home for a little too much money. Today, because of the internet, the used car market is very efficient and there’s not so many of those people around any more. As a result, time is no longer your friend on the used car lot and problems must, therefore, be recognized and dealt with quickly.
Now, if you agree, and really agree, ask yourself how many units you have over 60 days of age.
25
Jun
Last night I went out with my 19 year old son car shopping. I promised to help buy him a car after his first year of college if he got good grades. He apparently took me seriously as he proceeded to rack up straight A’s two quarters in a row. On the way to the first dealership, I explained that there was no correlation between the grade point average and the dollar value of the vehicle we were in search of. That conversation went really well as you might imagine.
We proceeded to visit 6 dealerships, Ford, Chevy, Toyota, Chrysler, Audi and another Toyota store. The depressing fact is that I was only introduced to one manager (Chrysler store) and not any one, and I mean no one recorded our name or telephone number.
Holy shit, what is going on out there? The last I checked, these are tough times and we were about as good of an up as they come. What about all the CRM solutions in these dealerships? What about all the management supervision? What about all the sales training?
I went home thoroughly depressed and drank scotch to overcome my sense of despair.
Last night and this morning I checked in with two managers for whom I have the utmost respect: Bill Pearson at Finishline Ford in Peoria, Illinois, and Cary Donovan at Sam Swope in Louisville, Kentucky. Both Bill and Cary told me the same thing, and I thought that it would be worth passing along to everyone else.
The first thing they both said is that people are buying trucks and SUV’s, notwithstanding the high price of gas. The key to their sales success, however, is their ability to price them aggressively, in other words, there still is a market for these vehicles.
The second strategy that both of these managers are using, however, is a willingness to lose money on the old ones and the guts to replace them at lower costs. These guys are not afraid of the market. On the contrary, they’re getting after it in a big way.
This strategy stands in stark contrast to what I hear from many other managers that are refusing to take big losses and/or continue to play in the truck and sport utility market. To these managers, I would strongly urge them to reconsider their approach. Let’s face it, the market did an abrupt about face and caught almost everyone off guard. There should be no shame in facing the music, nor should there be any fear about serving the truck and sport utility market, albeit at lower price points.
Let me know what you think…
